Global Warming Leads to Civil War

Check this out.  Apparently higher temperatures are correlated with significantly higher incidence of civil war in Africa.  The authors believe it’s because higher temperatures reduce crop yields, which is destabilizing in regions that rely largely on agriculture (especially subsistence agriculture).

Via Chris Blattman


About Jake Wobig

I teach international relations and comparative politics at Wingate University in Wingate, North Carolina
This entry was posted in Comparative Politics. Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Global Warming Leads to Civil War

  1. Amanda Balzer says:

    That sounds slightly akin to the types of arguments that Diamond tries to dispute in Guns, Germs and Steel – so not only does heat cause people groups to remain underdeveloped due to lack of creativity/intelligence, but they also tend to start more wars?

    Though I understand the crop/drought situation, couldn’t the same be said for any factor that causes scarcity of resources?

  2. Jake says:

    Hey, a correlation is a correlation.

    And weather-based exogenous shocks seem like a likely cause of conflict. Back in the early 1990s Thomas Homer-Dixon found similar results from droughts.

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