Be a Fox, not a Hedgehog

Nicholas Kristof writes this interesting column in the N.Y. Times today about the inability of experts (and he explicitly mentions political scientists) to make predictions better than a monkey.  He’s working off the ideas of Philip Tetlock’s book “Expert Political Judgment.”  I’ve never read the book, but maybe I should.  Anybody have any thoughts on Tetlock?


About Jake Wobig

I teach international relations and comparative politics at Wingate University in Wingate, North Carolina
This entry was posted in Political Psychology. Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Be a Fox, not a Hedgehog

  1. Jake says:

    Here’s a video of Tetlock describing his idea:

  2. Mike Wagner says:

    His book is really outstanding. And, it is one of the rare political science books reviewed in The New Yorker.

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