Studying the 2008 primaries with prediction markets: Malhotra and Snowberg

Another interesting use of the internet, this time to study elections. Good blog, too.

Social Science Statistics Blog: Studying the 2008 primaries with prediction markets: Malhotra and Snowberg.

With Obama now in office the rest of the country may be about ready to move on from the 2008 election, but political scientists are of course still finding plenty to write about. Neil Malhotra and Erik Snowberg recently circulated a working paper in which they use data from political prediction markets in 2008 to examine two key questions about presidential primaries: whether primaries constrain politicians from appealing to the middle of the electorate and whether states with early primaries play a disproportionately large role in choosing the nominee. It’s a very short and preliminary working paper that applies some novel methods to []

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